January 25, 2008

Did Bush Kill the GOP and other questions -UPDATED

Peggy Noonan writes today, that President Bush has killed the GOP:

George W. Bush destroyed the Republican Party, by which I mean he sundered it, broke its constituent pieces apart and set them against each other. He did this on spending, the size of government, war, the ability to prosecute war, immigration and other issues.

I have a great deal of respect for Ms. Noonan, but I’m not sure I can agree. Certainly President Bush should have used his veto power and curbed Congressional spending sooner than he eventually did, but let’s face it, the GOP in Congress helped build those spending bills and sent them to him. It seems to me that the entire congressional GOP needs to take some responsibility, there. And yes, he should have “surged” in Iraq much sooner than he did, but no one prosecutes a war perfectly.

Ms. Noonan cites “immigration” as a causal agent of Bush’s “destruction” of the GOP, and here I must strenously disagree and cite a piece of my own - which co-incidentally runs today over at Pajamas Media - in which I quote President Reagan, in his 1988 State of the Union Address, talking about meeting with the Mexican government about “make[ing] the border something other than a locale for a nine-foot fence,” and envisioning “a day when the free flow of trade — from the tip of Tierra del Fuego to the Arctic Circle — unites the people of the Western Hemisphere in a bond of mutually beneficial exchange,” or what some on the right lately refer to as “Bush’s North American Union.”

In the piece I demonstrate
that President Bush has not moved very far away from President Reagan in 1988, and suggest that perhaps the big problem between President Bush and the GOP base is not that Bush has changed - the truth is, he has been very consistently himself while in the Oval Office - but that the GOP (or the conservatives who identify as GOP) have stepped a bit further right than perhaps they’ve realized.

As you can imagine, my argument is not being received well by “the base,” and some of my mail indicates that few have actually read the Reagan quotes before cocking their verbal shotguns my way, but that’s alright. I still believe that - as Mrs. Noonan herself put it so well, once, on Hardball - “people can disagree and still be decent people.”

Agree or disagree, there is a case to be made here that - while President Bush certainly was not a “perfect” conservative president - the Congressional GOP bears some of the blame for the shape the GOP is in; and a case may also be made that the advent and popularity of new media (talk radio and political forum echo-chambers) have moved the conservatives further right.

UPDATE: Ed Morrissey is also writing about Noonan’s charge:

I love Peggy Noonan’s commentary, but this is a little over the top. The party has lost exactly one national cycle in the last four.
[...]
The seeds of Republican discontent took root in Congress, not the executive. It was the succession of Republican Congresses that refused to cut spending, and instead blew wads of cash on non-defense discretionary spending…
[...]
It may be fashionable for Republicans to cast all blame on the President, but that falsely absolves those who created the problems that plague us at the moment. It may also sound rhetorically spectacular to declare the party “destroyed” by having its constituent coalitions debate about its direction, but it’s both inaccurate and hyperbolic.

Sigh…Ed says it so much better than I do. That’s why he’s the Blog-father!

Other interesting questions and links around ’sphere:

Neo-neocon
thinks some more about Bush and leadership

Dennis Clayson
Two things to think about re Bush’s war and education.

Isn’t all this talk about apocalypse getting a bit boring.

Lorie Byrd has a bang-on-bang-up piece on The Clinton Reunion Tour. Is this what we wanted?

I had a feeling we would never get rid of him. When watching the inaugural ceremonies in 2001, when Bill Clinton lingered, and lingered, and lingered a bit longer, I knew that not only would he not go away, but that the media wouldn’t let him. This week the Vast Right Wing Conspiracy celebrated its ten year anniversary and the woman who coined the phrase looks poised to return with Bill Clinton to the White House. Considering how reluctant they were to leave it, it is no surprise they are fighting so hard to return. What remains to be seen is whether or not the public is ready for Clinton II.

Read it all. If any group had to make a “come back” I’d have preferred The Temptations!

EJ Dionne notes that Bill Clinton once praised Reagan, and it was much more clearly “praise” when he did it than when Obama mentioned the Gipper.

This pregnant mother of three, diagnosed with liver cancer, refused treatment and gave her son life. Probably by the time of diagnosis she was already past curing, but I’m sure some still won’t understand the heroic thing she has done. I’d like to think I would have the grace and courage to do the same, but I am always awstruck when I read such a story.

Are Democrats in Congress
allowing a key intelligence element to lapse?

Can the GOP reframe the Illegal Immigration Issue?

Is Rudy DOA or is he hanging in there a bit more? Quite honestly, after the debates last night, I am putting up a RUDY sign in my front window today. It’s a leftover from his Senate campaign in 2000, but it’ll do.

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15 Responses to “Did Bush Kill the GOP and other questions -UPDATED”

  1. fporretto Says:

    President Bush isn’t solely to blame, but he does qualify as a co-conspirator.

    Conservatives need a new home. The Republican Party has abandoned us. In our hour of need, at that.

  2. lsusportsfan Says:

    Great post Anchoress.
    I was already in a foul mood today before I read this. Well as usual I disagree. I have followed Mrs Noonan for years and to say the least she has distaste for George Bush at times. As to immigration she did not help matters. In many of columns she said that anyone that was for COmprehensive reform was for “open Border” pretty much. A charge that is of course not true.

    What Mrs Noonan falils to note is that Bush was quite a success. Who can forget(a few it seems) that in 2002 the Republicnas were all forcast to lose seats in the off year elections. Bush through his wise campaigning was a part of that not happening.

    In 2004 again we were forecast to lose seats. We actually gained in the Senate!!! Also do to the Bush White House skill

    2006 was not a banner year but a correction was far far overdue. At some point Bush gave much of his base up to 75 percent of what they wanted. They sneered back that was WHOLLY INSUFFICIENT. I hate to say it but Mrs Noonan and others were a part of that problem

    Before I cam over to your blog I had read this article. The first thing that came to my mind was a post you did called “The Essential President Bush” Pretty much what you said then goes now You said in part Quote:

    “The far-right gwwwwarks like a cracker-obsessed parrot: Bush has abandoned the base, he’s abandoned the base, he’s abandoned the base.

    Ever stop to think maybe the president feels his base has abandoned him, that uncontent with 75%, they’ve simply moved beyond reason? Ever stop to think that while you’re calling the president every despicable name in the book and demanding his fealty or you’ll “teach him a lesson,” that perhaps there is a lesson you need to learn? That a good man, disinterested in merely laughing or crying for the camera for 8 years and looking to do a difficult job in the face of unprecedented hate, unprecedent speed of communication, unprecedented global instability, unprecedented backstabbing from within his own CIA, deserves some loyalty and the benefit of a doubt as he tries to bring you the 75% you so callously spit back at him as insufficient?

    We do not know everything we think we know. Nothing is static; everything is in flux, and it is very likely that more is at work here, on many levels, than any of us can dream. There are things seen and unseen. Think about it.

    Here is a question, and I’ll be writing on it some more during the week, but start thinking about it, now: HOW DO YOU RECEIVE A GOOD?

    How you receive a good has a lot to do with whether any more “good” comes your way. The Conservatives got a “good” in 2000 and 2004; they’re receiving it very badly, indeed. I think the throwing-under-the-bus-of-George-W-Bush by “the base” is one of the most shameful things I have ever witnessed in all my years of watching politics, from both sides of the political spectrum. How do you receive a good?

    President Bush has never surprised me. He is, in essentials, the man he ever was. It does not surprise me that he is a Christian man living a creed before he is a President, that he is a President before he is a Conservative. It seems to me precisely the right order of things.

    You don’t have to agree with everything President Bush does; I don’t. But he deserves a lot better than he’s getting from his own side. He deserves, dare I say it, a spirit of compromise and workability, as opposed to the hard-line demand for a “perfect” solution (one which will never pass congress) to a problem no one else in government has even dared to address.”

    _______________________________
    It was true then Anchoress and true now

  3. Terrye Says:

    If immigration was so important to people like Peggy Noonan, why didn’t they deal with it years ago?

    I think this is ridiculous. Bush won against McCain in 2000, because the GOP thought he was more conservative. However, Bush was not Gingrich and he did not pretend to be. Back in those days Fred Thompson was supporting McCain and no one talked about immigration or even small government. Bush made it plain that he wanted to pursue domestic issues like education. He did not say anything about shutting down entitlement programs. I will be honest, I think it was the GOP that changed, not Bush.

  4. Terrye Says:

    fporetto:

    Well just go for it. After all, if you can not control it all why bother to be part of a coalition. Just take your marbles and go home.

    The Republican party is a political party, it is not a creed. Conservatism is an ideloogy, it is not a political party. Why is it that people can not understand this? Conservatives do not make up a majority in this country. Once upon a time they understood that.

  5. gs Says:

    Did Bush kill the GOP? Not exactly. Serious warning signs for the GOP were already in place when Bush took office. However, Bush did not address the underlying causes of the warning signs. If anything, he participated in the contrary. IMO the Bush presidency was a make-or-break test for the GOP; the Republican President and Republican Congress both failed that test. The Democrats may not do better, but my point is that I no longer give Republicans the automatic benefit of the doubt.

    When the GOP mishandled the 1995-6 budget conflict with Clinton, I had my first concern with their ability to be the nation’s governing party. That concern was validated when the Republicans moved to remove Clinton from power–in particular, when they persisted with impeachment after a historically anomalous setback in the 1998 election.

    Notwithstanding that, I wound up supporting Bush in 2000. His convention speech put me off enough to give Gore a serious hearing–whereupon Gore horrified me.

    “The President is who you vote for to protect you from other people’s Congressmen.” The high point of Bush’s Presidency was the 2002 election, in which he successfully risked his prestige on behalf of his party’s Congressional candidates. Thereupon he was in a position to put the Republican Congress back on track and consolidate the GOP’s majority position. Instead of knocking heads and stroking egos, he facilitated and enabled the misbehavior that ultimately led to the 2006 election results. (IMO the Republican establishment might consciously prefer presiding over a big-government minority party to overseeing a limited-government majority.)

    If Bush’s conduct of the war is based on a coherent strategic vision, he certainly hasn’t conveyed that to me. I wish the Iraqi people well in their opportunity, but I worry that the invasion may have been a misallocation of limited military, political, and economic resources. Even if it works out, it may be a pyrrhic victory–still better than a ruinous defeat, of course.

    Today the S&P 500 closed at 1331. It stood at 1343 when Bush was sworn in seven years ago. Most of the index’s value is based on expectations of future earnings. America’s future looks no better to investors than when a Republican President joined the Republican Congress in government; in fact, it looks worse because the dollar, in which the S&P 500 is priced, has declined. Notwithstanding the overhyping during the Clinton-era Internet bubble, America was then obviously the country that would lead the world into the economic future. Today, that role is in serious question.

    The GOP is no longer accepted as the country’s governing party. Although much can happen in the remaing year, if the Bush presidency ended today I doubt that history would consider it successful.

  6. fporretto Says:

    Yes, the GOP is a political party. But if it has no firm principles, from which its officials and other standard-bearers will never depart, it’s just a power-and-privilege-seeking machine. It’s no better than the Democrats. And therefore, it will receive no support from those of us who hold that principles and standards are what matter, NOT mere partisan allegiance.

    If there are no absolute standards of right and wrong, then all of human intercourse reduces to the struggle over power. Power over others. Power to bend others to your will. And as I am one who understands and loves freedom, I will have no part of that!

  7. Terrye Says:

    Freedom?? What has Bush done to take away your freedom? What has Bush done to take away your principles? Bush has principles, he has not strayed from them. He has not abandoned the party. They lost an election and got pissy and now they are looking for someone to blame.

    So yes, they need principles. But the point is that conservatism is subjective, people do not even agree on what it is. A political party is an institution, a coalition forged to win elections, therefore if it is pure ideology, devoid of compromise it becomes useless to people in their everyday lives. It is not a religion.

  8. Terrye Says:

    g:

    Oh please. If it even looks like America might go into a recession markets all over the world react. So much for the US being in decline. The last few years have seen a lot of challenges that any President would have had a difficult time dealing with. 9/11, War, natural disasters. All of that required resources. It is not all about Bush. Even the lending crisis had its roots back in the 90’s. I had a real estate license for some time and I can remember in the 90’s when lenders started pushing people to buy buy buy. My broker said a decade ago that it would blow up in their faces some day. And it did.

    Who gets blamed for that? The financial experts? The politicians?

  9. TheAnchoress Says:

    The GOP is no longer accepted as the country’s governing party. Although much can happen in the remaing year, if the Bush presidency ended today I doubt that history would consider it successful.

    Man, that’s tough. He came into a recession and it took forever to get his cabinet in place- attacked 8 months later, the economy didn’t tank, kept us out of the International Criminal Court, avoided the Kyoto trap, named a couple of good judges - won in ‘02 and ‘04 while battling a negative press and a “loyal opposition” that blocked everything it could, held the line on Embryonic Stem Cells, how many quarters of growth before this slowdown? A LOT - unemployment even now in these “terrible” times is 5%; liberated a couple or forty million people - he stood firm on Iraq & Afghanistan and won - might not have been as pretty a win as we wanted, but a win’s a win - oh, and we haven’t been attacked (here or overseas) since 9/11.

    I read a comment over at Captains Quarters today that I liked - someone said that on 9/12/01 we believed we were in for a hell of a time, and if we had said then that if he did nothing more than kept us safe and free from attack throughout his term, it would be enough, and we’d have been right.

    Sounds remarkably successful to me.

    He doesn’t seem like such a failure to me. In fact, I think he’s rather spoiled us. We’ve forgotten a great deal, I think. Which means we’ll be doomed to repeat it.

  10. Terrye Says:

    It might also be worth remembering that Bush is not responsible for everything. It is not his job to meet our every need. It is not his job to pacify the pundits and suck up to the press. That is not what he was elected to do. And considering the fact that Republican always like to say they are in favor of individuals assuming control of their own lives, it seems to me they are laying a lot at the feet of this one man. After all, are they not capable of knowing who and what they are without his instruction?

  11. gs Says:

    Anchoress, I suspect you and I don’t use the same criteria when we assess the Bush and Republican records. One of your statements especially drew my attention:

    In fact, I think he’s rather spoiled us.

    Exactly. Supposedly Democrats are the mommy party and Republicans are the daddy party. You eventually realize having daddy spoil you is not a good thing–even if you don’t admit it, even while you demand more.

    In the early 90s, when the Democratic Congress on its last legs, I would read that the Democrats were intellectually bankrupt while the Republicans were the party of ideas–the party confident in its ideas. Something happened.

  12. TheAnchoress Says:

    Granny, I take your point - to a point - but it is nevertheless true that Bush has accomplished a great deal that the base seems unwilling to acknowledge, and he’s managed to do it under tremendous opposition while we’ve all pretty much gone about our lives quite safely. For all the excessive hyperbole from some (I don’t mean you) that he is “practically a socialist” the truth is he has protected America from the “global courts” and “global laws” and “global fakery” (and I frankly think Rudy is the only one left who can continue to do that, btw, but the Rudy Derangement Syndrome will be awful). Times have been very good when they could have been very, very bad indeed…and none of our (non-military) kids have been blown up on subways or fallen from the sky on his watch. And the two judges he got to name (it should have been more but some liberal justices are drinking formaldehyde daily to stay propped up, until a Dem comes round, I think) seem very fine. Think of all the federal judge seats that are still not filled, because of Dem obstruction.

    It seems to me just weird, bizarre, unthinkable and in all ways fake for “the base” to not at least acknowledge some of the undeniable “good things” about the Bush presidency. I wonder at it - I wonder at the psychology of it. It seems ungenerous and unjust to me, and a bit specious, too. Bush is precisely who he told us he would be - but suddenly the cry is “betrayed! betrayed!” I don’t get it.

    Bush has given us the 60-75% Reagan said was pretty good batting, and he gets thrown under the bus for not batting 1000, as though anyone could.

    Sometimes, in watching all of this, I’ve thought of Moses, leading the Jews out of slavery, only to hear from the wanderers, “hey, this sucks, we had melons and meat to eat in Egypt!”

    Maybe it is simply human nature for us to lose sight of all the “goods” that we get, and bellyache.

    But I’ve always thought that if you do not learn to appreciate the “good” you receive and be thankful for it…welll…you may get MORE good…but you won’t be able to recognise it. And maybe that’s the answer.

    Appreciate the thought-provoking comments!

  13. Darrell Says:

    The voters gave the Republican Party the power, time and time again, a higher majority in both Houses, and they did not use it.
    That’s why the voters decided to give it to someone who would. Period.
    Judging by who has a lower approval rating than President Bush, they now realize the maistake of giving power to those with the same tired ideas.

    If the Dems(and their MSM diapers) didn’t spend the last eight years talking down the economy, maybe the market would have done better. Know how the Dems spent the days after 9/11? They were planning their “talk down the economy 101″ strategies for the upcoming mid-term elections in 2002. The economy which had recovered and delivered a good Christmas season didn’t start to head south until after the media began to execute this strategy(formulated with Media heads participating, not reporting, btw)in early 2002.

    Remember this? “Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — increased at an annual rate of 4.9 percent in the third quarter of 2007, according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.8 percent.” Caused a stir when it was released. . . When? EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EST, THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20, 2007BEA 07-59

    Funny how a month later, we are all in a panic as to how bad the US economy is performing! Why? Ask the Propaganda Ministry, er…, the MSM.

  14. smmtheory Says:

    I agree with your thoughts about President Bush for the most part Anchoress, although I thought at times that even your mild rants about the President were a bit unduly critical. I’ve been very content with the job President Bush has done while in office. I do remember election year 2000, and I remember dreading an Al Gore Presidency - 4 to 8 more years of Clinton style politics, foreign policy, domestic policy, hamming it up for the gawping media mass - and I for one recognize how much better a deal this nation got than it might have received. Heck, I even remember election year 1992 and seeing Bill Clinton hamming it up playing saxophone on the Tonight Show. I thought then he was not materially sufficient to be the President, but he was elected anyway.

    But, breaking the GOP? If the GOP is really broken or going to be destroyed, it is not because of President Bush, it will be because of a portion of the coalition that makes up the GOP thinking it is too good for the GOP.

    Of course, I can say this because I am an outsider, not a part of the GOP or the Democrats. I think I typify the general independent voter, which distrusts either party in totality, but when given a choice will go with the fellow who we think will do the best job. Right now, I think that is Rudy. I hope he does get the nomination, but if not, maybe one of the others will not do any more damage to the office of the Presidency than the Clintons did.

  15. saveliberty Says:

    Thank you, Anchoress for a wonderful post. I think that what’s striking in Peggy Noonan’s columns since her fury over immigration is her lack of maturity. When the bill failed a second time, she raged that the President should hurt as we (but really she meant herself) hurt.

    That was a stunning admission of her own emotional issues. This is not how responsible and mature individuals discuss their differences. As you pointed out, she had written that people can disagree and do so with civility, advice that she would do well to heed.

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